Berry, Frances and William Berry. “The Politics of Tax Increases in the States.” American Journal of Political Science, 38 (August 1994): 855-59.
This paper updates a recent study
of the factors prompting states to adopt new tax instruments by testing the
explanation supported in the original work over a longer time period and broadening
the pooled cross-sectional time series analysis to include increases in the
rates of existing tax instruments. Our results are consistent with the original
study's support for a "political opportunity" explanation that suggests
that politicians are most likely to adopt tax increases when the electoral risks
of doing so are minimized.